Family-based green card preference 2A: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

What is family-based preference 2A?
Spouses and children of green card holders.


What do you predict?
We are predicting the advancement of the ‘final action date’, which is published every month in the visa bulletin. Applicants who submitted Form I-130 before the ‘final action date’:

  • May submit their request to adjust status (form I-485) when they are filing from within the United States. However, at least until May 31st 2018, adjustment of status applicants can file if their priority date is current compared to the filing date (the ‘gain’ for applicants is 1 year and 3 months).
  • May have their interview scheduled when they are going through consular processing

What is the basis of the prediction?
We released a first prediction at the beginning of the U.S. government fiscal year, which started on October 1st 2017. Now, because we know the actual visa bulletin dates for Oct. ’17 – Jun. ’18, we are able to update our prediction and extend it to Dec. ’19.


Does the prediction apply to Mexico and the Philippines?
No, it does not. The prediction applies to all applicants except those Mexico and the Philippines.


What happened since the beginning of the new fiscal year in October 2017?
Fiscal Year 2018 is shaping up to be a solid year for F2A. If you compare the advancement with the last 20 years (the thick red line represents the last months of known data), Fiscal Year 2018 is slightly above average:


What does Immigration Planner predict this year?
For the first time in Fiscal Year 2018 (Oct. ’17 – Jun. ’18), there is a bit of a slowdown in June 2018, with only a one-week advancement. Does that mean that we need to prepare ourselves for slower advancement this coming summer, or is it a temporary slowdown. July 2018 will tell us more. Our current predictions are as follows:

More specifically, these are the dates we predict:

Visa Bulletin Predictions for F2A Final Action Dates.
Visa Bulletin
F2A Final Action date
Type
Jan 2018Feb 1, 2016actual
Feb 2018Mar 1, 2016actual
Mar 2018Mar 22, 2016actual
Apr 2018May 1, 2016actual
May 2018Jun 1, 2016actual
Jun 2018Jun 8, 2016actual
Jul 2018Jun 22, 2016prediction
Aug 2018Jul 22, 2016prediction
Sep 2018Aug 22, 2016prediction
Oct 2018Oct 1, 2016prediction
Nov 2018Nov 8, 2016prediction
Dec 2018Dec 15, 2016prediction
Jan 2019Jan 22, 2017prediction
Feb 2019Mar 1, 2017prediction
Mar 2019Apr 8, 2017prediction
Apr 2019May 22, 2017prediction
May 2019Jul 1, 2017prediction
Jun 2019Aug 15, 2017prediction
Jul 2019Sep 22, 2017prediction
Aug 2019Nov 15, 2017prediction
Sep 2019Dec 22, 2017prediction
Oct 2019Feb 15, 2018prediction
Nov 2019Apr 1, 2018prediction
Dec 2019Apr 15, 2018prediction

What happened last year?
Fiscal Year 2017 was not an impressive year for the advancement of F2A. We compared the month by month progression of 2017 with the last 20 years and can see that 2017 is in the bottom third.


When will Immigration Planner update its predictions and why?
The next update will be around June 15th, 2018 when the Visa Bulletin for July 2018 will be released by U.S. immigration agencies. Immigration Planner is updating its predictions every month based on the latest available Visa Bulletin.

Related Resources

Visa Bulletin
Visa Bulletin: June 2018 analysis

Analysis of the June 2018 Visa Bulletin for family Green Card applicants.

F1 Visa Bulletin Predictions
Family-based green card F1 preference: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F1 date for 'all countries' will reach October 22nd, 2011 in January 2019.

f2b
Family-based green card preference 2B: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F2B date for 'all countries' will reach February 8th, 2012 in January 2019.

F3 Visa Bulletin Predictions
Family-based green card preference 3: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F3 date for 'all countries' will reach May 22nd, 2006 in January 2019.

F4 Visa Bulletin Predictions
Family-based green card preference 4: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F4 date for 'all countries' will reach April 15th, 2005 in January 2019.

List of all the questions in the DS-260

All the questions in the DS-260, an online form used by the National Visa Center (NVC) to gather information about applicants for family green cards.