What about F1? (Children of U.S. Citizens who are adults, but not married)
🇵🇭Philippines, F1 - July 2020
|F1||Jun 1, 2011||+17 weeks||The pattern in July 2020 is the same as before.|
It looks like the Visa Office believes that there are not enough Documentarily Qualified candidates to reach the annual numerical limits for Fiscal Year 2020 (which ends in September 2020).
It looks like they were expecting more applicants to react to the significant advancement we saw in September 2019, and the rapid one we saw in the Nov '19 - Feb '20 period. They might keep pushing further, even if it means a retrogression in August or September 2020.
This is an overview of our F1 predictions (see our 3-year prediction)
What about F2A? (Spouses of Green Card holders, or young Children of Green Card holders who are not married)
🇵🇭Philippines, F2A - July 2020
|F2A||Jul 1, 2020||+4 weeks||F2A has now been 'current' for all countries of chargeability (including Mexico and the Philippines for more than a year.|
We never expected this 'current' situation to last that long, and we were even lead by the Visa Office to expect a cutoff date to be re-established in the first few months of 2020.
Now, however, with the combination of Covid-19 and the Green Card suspension, we have every reason to believe that F2A will remain 'current' at least until the end of the present Fiscal Year in September 2020 --> only the 5% of F2A applicants who file from within the United States can have an interview scheduled at the moment, so that is not going to use many of the available Green Cards.
In any instance, all applicants who can take advantage of the situation should (Applicants going through Adjustment of Status can file Form I-130 and I-485 concurrently; or file Form I-485 right away if they already filed Form I-130, even if Form I-130 is not approved yet).
This is an overview of our F2A predictions (see our 3-year prediction)
What about F2B? (Children of Green Card holders who are adults, but not married)
🇵🇭Philippines, F2B - July 2020
|F2B||Jan 1, 2011||+17 weeks||Same story in July with a jump forward, although not quite as big as the preceding months, probably driven by the search for documentarily qualified candidates. Obviously that means that the Final Action Date was not moved forward enough in prior years.||F2B Predictions|
This is an overview of our F2B predictions (see our 3-year prediction)
What about F3? (Children of U.S. Citizens who are adults and married)
🇵🇭Philippines, F3 - July 2020
|F3||Aug 15, 2001||+17 weeks||Same story in July as in March, April, May, and June.|
Let's get a little perspective first: F3 - Phil has made as much advancement in the last year as it has in the 10 prior years combined!
This tells you how agressive the Visa Office has been in terms of getting enough Documentarily Qualified applicants, to schedule enough interviews, and as a result to issue all the Green Cards available in this category. Once this short-term goal is reached (the current Fiscal Year ends in September 2020), a retrogression seems almost inevitable...
These erratic movements are not helpful to applicants, that is a certainty.
This is an overview of our F3 predictions (see our 3-year prediction)
What about F4? (Brothers and Sisters of U.S. Citizens)
🇵🇭Philippines, F4 - July 2020
|F4||Jun 1, 2001||+17 weeks||Same story in July 2020 as in March, April, May, and June.|
F4- Phil does not seem to be different from F1, F2B, and F3. The Visa Office seems to believe that there are just not enough Documentarily Qualified applicants at this point in Fiscal Year 2020 to get to the annual numerical limit. As a result, the Visa Office has been pushing the Visa Bulletin date forward aggressively, especially since December 2019.
The impressive advancement of Fiscal Year 2019 might not have been enough to get applicants to react last Fall.
Again, these erratic movements are not helpful to applicants...
This is an overview of our F4 predictions (see our 3-year prediction)
If I am going through Adjustment of Status, can I use the Filing Date?
It is generally not easy for applicants from the Philippines (except F2A) to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin because of how long they need to maintain legal status in the United States before they can file their Form I-485. Here is the latest:
|F1||Feb 8, 2012||+22 weeks||Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
|F2A||Jun 1, 2020||+4 weeks||Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
|F2B||Aug 1, 2011||+13 weeks||Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
|F3||Apr 22, 2002||+22 weeks||Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
|F4||Jan 8, 2002||+18 weeks||Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
When will the Interview be scheduled?
The process of scheduling the interview is initiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:
- The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
- The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).
Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Mexico, All Countries, …).
The month when the applicant’s Priority Date is current, U.S. Immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.
Philippines Visa Bulletin
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