F1-Philippines: Visa Bulletin Predictions

What does Immigration Planner predict?

Our latest predictions for the Final Action Dates of F1 for 🇵🇭Philippines.
Children of U.S. Citizens who are adults, but not married.


F1, the Philippines – Final Action Dates Predictions FY2019 – FY2021:

Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Jul 2020Jun 1, 2011
Aug 2020Nov 1, 2010
Sep 2020Dec 1, 2010
Oct 2020Jan 8, 2011
Nov 2020Feb 8, 2011
Dec 2020Mar 15, 2011
Jan 2021Apr 15, 2011
Feb 2021May 22, 2011
Mar 2021Jun 22, 2011
Apr 2021Jul 22, 2011
May 2021Aug 22, 2011
Jun 2021Oct 1, 2011
Jul 2021Nov 8, 2011
Aug 2021Dec 8, 2011
Sep 2021Jan 15, 2012
Oct 2021Feb 15, 2012
Nov 2021Mar 22, 2012
Dec 2021Apr 22, 2012
Jan 2022May 22, 2012
Feb 2022Jun 22, 2012
Mar 2022Aug 1, 2012
Apr 2022Sep 1, 2012
May 2022Oct 8, 2012
Jun 2022Nov 8, 2012
Jul 2022Dec 15, 2012
Aug 2022Jan 15, 2013
Sep 2022Feb 22, 2013
Oct 2022Mar 22, 2013
Nov 2022Apr 22, 2013
Dec 2022Jun 1, 2013
Jan 2023Jul 8, 2013
Feb 2023Aug 8, 2013
Mar 2023Sep 8, 2013
Apr 2023Oct 15, 2013
May 2023Nov 15, 2013
Jun 2023Dec 22, 2013

Don’t see your Priority Date? Want to know when your Interview will take place? Get more details with Immigration Planner.

What is the latest?

F1
Latest
Visa Bulletin Date:Jul 2020
Chargeability:The Philippines
Final Action Date:Jun 1, 2011
Movement:+17 weeks
The pattern in July 2020 is the same as before.

It looks like the Visa Office believes that there are not enough Documentarily Qualified candidates to reach the annual numerical limits for Fiscal Year 2020 (which ends in September 2020).

It looks like they were expecting more applicants to react to the significant advancement we saw in September 2019, and the rapid one we saw in the Nov '19 - Feb '20 period. They might keep pushing further, even if it means a retrogression in August or September 2020.

See F1 for All Countries and Mexico.


Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2018 is from October 2017 to September 2018, and Fiscal Year 2019 is from October 2018 to September 2019.


F1
Last Six
Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Movement
Jul 2020Jun 1, 2011+17 weeks
Jun 2020Feb 1, 2011+21 weeks
May 2020Sep 1, 2010+26 weeks
Apr 2020Mar 1, 2010+25 weeks
Mar 2020Sep 1, 2009+21 weeks
Feb 2020Apr 1, 2009+10 weeks

I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?

Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:

Filing Date
Movement
Status
Feb 8, 2012+22 weeks✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used


Historically, how long did it take for F1-Philippines applicants to become ‘current’?

This is how long it took for prior F1-Philippines applicants to have their priority date become current, plus our prediction for the next few years:


If you can, should you ‘opt-out’ of F1 right now?

When sponsors who were Green Card holders become U.S. Citizen, their over-21-year-old unmarried children are moved from F2B to F1. But these applicants can also ‘opt-out’ from F1 and stay in F2B. Should they? That is what we are trying to help applicants determine here:

Question
Answer
Does F1 have an advantage over F2B?Yes
Should applicants 'opt-out' of F1?No
Where is F1 compared to F2B (in Months)?
Last update? July 2020

This is how F1 compared to F2B historically, and our prediction for the next few years:

When will the Interview be scheduled?

The process of scheduling the interview is initiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:

  • The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
  • The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).

Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Philippines, All Countries, …).

The month when the applicant’s Priority Date is current, U.S. Immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.

What happened during Fiscal Year 2018?

Fiscal Year 2018 refers to the period from October 2017 to September 2018. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2018 (represented by the annotated line). Fiscal Year 2018 was below the average of the last 20 years for F1-Philippines:


When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?

We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:

Jul 14, 2020


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