F1-All Countries: Visa Bulletin Predictions

What does Immigration Planner predict?

Our latest predictions for the Final Action Dates of F1 for 🌐All Countries.
Children of U.S. Citizens who are adults, but not married.


F1, All Countries – Final Action Dates Predictions FY2019 – FY2021:

Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Jun 2020May 22, 2014
Jul 2020Jun 22, 2014
Aug 2020Aug 1, 2014
Sep 2020Sep 8, 2014
Oct 2020Oct 15, 2014
Nov 2020Nov 15, 2014
Dec 2020Dec 22, 2014
Jan 2021Jan 22, 2015
Feb 2021Mar 1, 2015
Mar 2021Apr 8, 2015
Apr 2021May 15, 2015
May 2021Jun 15, 2015
Jun 2021Jul 22, 2015
Jul 2021Aug 22, 2015
Aug 2021Oct 1, 2015
Sep 2021Nov 8, 2015
Oct 2021Dec 15, 2015
Nov 2021Jan 22, 2016
Dec 2021Feb 22, 2016
Jan 2022Apr 1, 2016
Feb 2022May 1, 2016
Mar 2022Jun 8, 2016
Apr 2022Jul 15, 2016
May 2022Aug 22, 2016
Jun 2022Sep 22, 2016
Jul 2022Oct 22, 2016
Aug 2022Dec 8, 2016
Sep 2022Jan 8, 2017
Oct 2022Feb 15, 2017
Nov 2022Mar 22, 2017
Dec 2022Apr 22, 2017
Jan 2023Jun 1, 2017
Feb 2023Jul 8, 2017
Mar 2023Aug 8, 2017
Apr 2023Sep 15, 2017
May 2023Oct 22, 2017

Don’t see your Priority Date? Want to know when your Interview will take place? Get a detailed, personalized Timeline with Date Predictions for each step.

What is the latest?

F1
Latest
Visa Bulletin Date:Jun 2020
Chargeability:All Countries
Final Action Date:May 22, 2014
Movement:+8 weeks
The advancement in April, May, and June 2020 was significantly above expectations as, since January the guidance of the Visa Office has been short-term movement of 'up to 6 weeks'.

This seems to indicate that, in spite of the change in terms of speed and advancement of F1 since July 2019, the State Department either seems unable to generate enough documentarily qualified candidates; or it wants to schedule more interviews between now and September 2020 to fully use the number of Green Cards available under the Annual Numerical Limits (but considering the recent Green Card Suspension for 60 days, that explanation seems more unlikely).

In any instance, F1 is currently trending above its 5, 10, 15 and 20-year averages, so we maintain- given that F1 is prone to regressions that there is a period of prolonged, slower advancement coming up starting in the Fall of 2020.

See F1 Mexico and the Philippines.


Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2018 is from October 2017 to September 2018, and Fiscal Year 2019 is from October 2018 to September 2019.


F1
Last Six
Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Movement
Jun 2020May 22, 2014+8 weeks
May 2020Mar 22, 2014+11 weeks
Apr 2020Jan 1, 2014+12 weeks
Mar 2020Oct 8, 2013+6 weeks
Feb 2020Aug 22, 2013+5 weeks
Jan 2020Jul 15, 2013+8 weeks

I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?

Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:

Filing Date
Movement
Status
Feb 15, 2015+12 weeks✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used


Historically, how long did it take for F1 applicants to become ‘current’?

This is how long it took for prior F1-All Countries applicants to have their priority date become current, plus our prediction for the next few years:


If you can, should you ‘opt-out’ of F1 right now?

When sponsors who were Green Card holders become U.S. Citizen, their over-21-year-old unmarried children are moved from F2B to F1. But these applicants can also ‘opt-out’ from F1 and stay in F2B. Should they? That is what we are trying to help applicants determine here:

Question
Answer
Does F1 have an advantage over F2B?Yes
Should applicants 'opt-out' of F1?No
Where is F1 compared to F2B (in Months)?
Last update? June 2020

This is how F1 compared to F2B historically, and our prediction for the next few years:

When will the Interview be scheduled?

The process of scheduling the interview is initiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:

  • The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
  • The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).

Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Mexico, All Countries, …).

The month when the applicant’s Priority Date is current, U.S. Immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.

What happened during Fiscal Year 2019?

Fiscal Year 2019 refers to the period from October 2018 to September 2019 and is represented by the bright green line. Fiscal Year 2019 was a very strong year, comparable to 2016, and significantly better than the average of the last 20 years:


When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?

We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:

Jun 23, 2020


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