What does Immigration Planner predict?
Our latest predictions for the Final Action Dates of F2B for 🌐All Countries.
Children of Green Card holders who are adults, but not married.
What is the latest?
|Visa Bulletin Date:||Aug 2020|
|Final Action Date:||Jun 8, 2015|
For now five consecutive months (April to August), the advancement of F2B is about twice what we were expecting. Is it an anomaly, or a change that is going to last for a few months?
Considering recent events, a case can be made for both scenario.
It could be an anomaly because: 1) The Visa Office itself recently said that the short-term was only going to be 'up to 3 weeks' (which was a clear step down from 'up to 6 weeks earler'); 2) Fiscal Year 2019 was by far the best of the last 20 years and allowed F2B to 'catch up'; 3) F2B is now above its historical trends, and it needs to go back to its 'normal' averages.
It could last, because there could be an attempt to use the Visa Numbers usually used for Consular Processing for Adjustment cases, mitigating the effect of the 60-day Green Card suspension.
Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2018 is from October 2017 to September 2018, and Fiscal Year 2019 is from October 2018 to September 2019.
|Aug 2020||Jun 8, 2015||+5 weeks|
|Jul 2020||May 1, 2015||+6 weeks|
|Jun 2020||Mar 15, 2015||+8 weeks|
|May 2020||Jan 15, 2015||+10 weeks|
|Apr 2020||Nov 1, 2014||+6 weeks|
|Mar 2020||Sep 15, 2014||+3 weeks|
I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?
Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:
|Jan 8, 2015||+5 weeks||✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
Historically, how long did it take for F2B applicants to become ‘current’?
This is how long it took for prior F2B-All Countries applicants to have their priority date become current, plus our prediction for the next few years:
Should you stay in F2B by ‘opting out’ of F1?
When sponsors who were Green Card holders become U.S. Citizen, their over-21-year-old unmarried children are moved from F2B to F1. But these applicants can also ‘opt-out’ from F1 and stay in F2B. Should they? That is what we are trying to help applicants determine here:
|Does F1 have an advantage over F2B?||No|
|Should applicants 'opt-out' of F1?||Yes|
|Where is F1 compared to F2B (in Months)?||-9.9|
|Last update?||August 2020|
This is how F1 compared to F2B historically, and our prediction for the next few years:
What happened during Fiscal Year 2019?
Fiscal Year 2019 refers to the period from October 2018 to September 2019 and is represented by the bright green line. It was clearly an incredible year for F2B All Countries:
When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?
We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:
Aug 20, 2020
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