What does Immigration Planner predict?
Our latest predictions for the Final Action Dates of F2B for the 🇵🇭Philippines.
Children of Green Card holders who are adults, but not married.
What is the latest?
|Visa Bulletin Date:||Apr 2020|
|Final Action Date:||Feb 1, 2010|
Same story as in March. Wait time for F2B - Phil went up a bit from approximately 10.5 year to 11.5 years, but it seems like it had quite an effect. More applicants are either dropping out, or not reacting to the rapid advancement of the Visa Bulletin date (Fiscal Year 2019 that has been one of the best years of the last 20 years, and the advancement is solid to strong advancement since October 2019). At least, that is what this 21-week jump seems to indicate: an attempt at fully using the annual number of available Green Cards before they 'expire' at the end of September 2020.
Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2018 is from October 2017 to September 2018, and Fiscal Year 2019 is from October 2018 to September 2019.
|Apr 2020||Feb 1, 2010||+17 weeks|
|Mar 2020||Oct 1, 2009||+21 weeks|
|Feb 2020||May 1, 2009||+12 weeks|
|Jan 2020||Feb 1, 2009||+8 weeks|
|Dec 2019||Dec 1, 2008||+8 weeks|
|Nov 2019||Oct 1, 2008||+4 weeks|
I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?
Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:
|Oct 1, 2010||+17 weeks||✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
Historically, how long did it take for F2B-Philippines applicants to become ‘current’?
This is how long it took for prior F2B-Philippines applicants to have their priority date become current, plus our prediction for the next few years:
If you can, should you ‘opt-out’ of F1 right now?
When sponsors who were Green Card holders become U.S. Citizen, their over-21-year-old unmarried children are moved from F2B to F1. But these applicants can also ‘opt-out’ from F1 and stay in F2B. Should they? That is what we are trying to help applicants determine here:
|Does F1 have an advantage over F2B?||Yes|
|Should applicants 'opt-out' of F1?||No|
|Where is F1 compared to F2B (in Months)?|
|Last update?||April 2020|
This is how F1 compared to F2B historically, and our prediction for the next few years:
When will the Interview be scheduled?
The process of scheduling the interview is initiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:
- The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
- The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).
Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Philippines, All Countries, …).
The month when the applicant’s Priority Date is current, U.S. Immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.
What happened during Fiscal Year 2018?
Fiscal Year 2018 refers to the period from October 2017 to September 2018. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2018 (represented by the annotated line). Fiscal Year 2018 was below the average of the last 20 years for F2B-Philippines:
When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?
We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:
Apr 13, 2020