F2A-All Countries: Visa Bulletin Predictions

Analysis and Predictions

What is this prediction about?
This is a prediction of the ‘Final Action Date’ of the Visa Bulletin for family Green Cards F2A (Spouses and children of Green Card holders) for ‘All Countries’ (not Mexico and not the Philippines) based on the latest available data (September 2018).

What is the latest?

F2A
Latest
Visa Bulletin Date:Oct 2018
Chargeability:All Countries
Final Action Date:Aug 22, 2016
Movement:+4 weeks

In October 2018, F2A – All Countries started Fiscal Year 2019 (October 2018 to September 2019) with a solid 4-week advancement. As we had hoped, the lack of movement we saw in September 2018 was just a way to temporarily manage the number of Green Cards issued.


F2A
Last Six
Visa Bulletin Month
Final Action Date
Movement
Oct 2018Aug 22, 2016+4 weeks
Sep 2018Jul 22, 2016None
Aug 2018Jul 22, 2016+4 weeks
Jul 2018Jun 22, 2016+2 weeks
Jun 2018Jun 8, 2016+1 weeks
May 2018Jun 1, 2016+4 weeks

What does Immigration Planner predict?

As we had hoped, it looks like the lack of advancement in September 2018 was simply a way for U.S. immigration agencies to manage the number of interviews and stay under annual numerical limits. Our predictions for the Final Action Dates are as follows:

F2A, All Countries – Final Action Dates Predictions FY2019 – FY2021 (for longer, 20-year predictions, use our application to build your immigration plan with customized dates):

Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Oct 2018Aug 22, 2016
Nov 2018Sep 22, 2016
Dec 2018Oct 22, 2016
Jan 2019Nov 22, 2016
Feb 2019Dec 22, 2016
Mar 2019Jan 22, 2017
Apr 2019Feb 22, 2017
May 2019Mar 22, 2017
Jun 2019Apr 22, 2017
Jul 2019May 22, 2017
Aug 2019Jun 22, 2017
Sep 2019Jul 22, 2017
Oct 2019Aug 22, 2017
Nov 2019Sep 22, 2017
Dec 2019Oct 22, 2017
Jan 2020Nov 22, 2017
Feb 2020Dec 22, 2017
Mar 2020Jan 22, 2018
Apr 2020Feb 22, 2018
May 2020Mar 22, 2018
Jun 2020Apr 22, 2018
Jul 2020May 22, 2018
Aug 2020Jun 22, 2018
Sep 2020Jul 22, 2018
Oct 2020Aug 22, 2018
Nov 2020Sep 22, 2018
Dec 2020Nov 1, 2018
Jan 2021Dec 1, 2018
Feb 2021Dec 22, 2018
Mar 2021Jan 22, 2019
Apr 2021Mar 1, 2019
May 2021Apr 1, 2019
Jun 2021May 1, 2019
Jul 2021Jun 1, 2019
Aug 2021Jul 1, 2019
Sep 2021Aug 1, 2019

I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?

Applicants going through adjustment of status are allowed to use the following ‘Filing Date’ of the October 2018 Visa Bulletin to determine if they are allowed to file Form I-485:

Dec 1, 2017


Historically, how long did it take for F2A applicants to become ‘current’?

Looking back, this is how long it took for prior applicants to have their priority date become current. For F2A, the latest available data shows it took just under 2 years:

When will the Interview be scheduled?

The process of scheduling the interview is intiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:

  • The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
  • The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).

Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Mexico, All Countries…).

What happened during Fiscal Year 2018?

Fiscal Year 2018 refers to the period from October 2017 to September 2018. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2018 (represented by the thick red line). Fiscal Year 2018 ends up being in the bottom third, just like Fiscal Year 2017. The year started well, but then slowed down:


What happened during Fiscal Year 2017?

Fiscal Year 2017 refers to the period from October 2016 to September 2017. Fiscal Year 2017 was not an impressive year for the advancement of F2A, similarly in the bottom third. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2017 (represented by the thick blue line).


When will Immigration Planner update its predictions and why?

The next update will be around October 10th, 2018 when the Visa Bulletin for November 2018 will be released by U.S. immigration agencies. Immigration Planner is updating its predictions every month based on the latest available Visa Bulletin.

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