What is happening with F2A- All countries?
To understand what is happening with F2A- All Countries, we have to go back to the summer of 2019. In June 2019, the Final Action Date for F2A was July 15th 2017. In July 2019, it became ‘current’ which means that the cutoff date moved forward two years to July 1st 2019.
At the time, we thought it was going to be temporary. How could it be otherwise when there is an annual numerical limit on F2A that is around 88,000. But no, the date has stayed ‘current’ ever since defying expectations. And even during the pandemic, there has been no change.
Looking at ‘time to current’ is particularly telling. We were looking at around two years, and suddenly you are ‘current’!
Obviously this had significant implications. Suddenly, F2A applicants going through Consular Processing no longer had to wait to start their NVC processing.
And applicants going through adjustment of status could do concurrent filing, just like spouses and young children of U.S. Citizens. Before many F2A saw their visa expire during the Visa Bulletin wait, and by the time they were ‘current’ that made them ineligible to file for adjustment.
So the only question is essentially: will this end?
Do you expect a retrogression in the F2A category in the coming months?
The short answer is ‘no’, I do not see a change in the current status for F2A in the foreseeable future.
I can say that if posts were to suddenly return to full operational status and begin utilizing F2A numbers at a much, much higher pace than normal it may require a final action date to be imposed at some point in the future.
I do not see foresee that happening.
I think that the current amount of F2A demand will be slowly reduced through the course of the year, and that slow reduction will reduce or eliminate completely any need for a [final action] date [to be imposed], at least during fiscal year 2022.
Official recording here.
How did the Final Action Date move in the past few months?
|Visa Bulletin Date:||Oct 2022|
|Final Action Date:||Sep 1, 2022|
F2A has been 'current' since July 2019 and the only question is when it is going to end-- if ever. Up until August 2022, there was no indication that it would, but then F2A-Mexico retrogressed dramatically. October 2022 confirmed the hypothesis that the retrogression for Mexico was simply a way to keep overall Mexico numbers under the country limit, and had nothing to do with F2A.
Another good news is the strong issuance of consular F2As, which are only 10% down from pre-pandemic levels in FY2022. F2A interviews are clearly prioritized over other preferences.
Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2022 is from October 2021 to September 2022.
|Oct 2022||Sep 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Sep 2022||Sep 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Aug 2022||Aug 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Jul 2022||Jul 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Jun 2022||Jun 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|May 2022||May 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
For real time information about the consulates are doing with F2A interviews, and discussions with fellow F2A applicants waiting for their interview, remember that you can Immigration Planner 's Facebook group here
When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?
We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:
Oct 15, 2022
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