What is happening with F2A- All countries?
To understand what is happening with F2A- All Countries, we have to go back to the summer of 2019. In June 2019, the Final Action Date for F2A was July 15th 2017. In July 2019, it became ‘current’ which means that the cutoff date moved forward two years to July 1st 2019.
At the time, we thought it was going to be temporary. How could it be otherwise when there is an annual numerical limit on F2A that is around 88,000. But no, the date has stayed ‘current’ ever since defying expectations. And even during the pandemic, there has been no change.
Looking at ‘time to current’ is particularly telling. We were looking at around two years, and suddenly you are ‘current’!
Obviously this had significant implications. Suddenly, F2A applicants going through Consular Processing no longer had to wait to start their NVC processing.
And applicants going through adjustment of status could do concurrent filing, just like spouses and young children of U.S. Citizens. Before many F2A saw their visa expire during the Visa Bulletin wait, and by the time they were ‘current’ that made them ineligible to file for adjustment.
So the only question is essentially: will this end?
Do you expect a retrogression in the F2A category in the coming months?
The short answer is ‘no’, I do not see a change in the current status for F2A in the foreseeable future.
I can say that if posts were to suddenly return to full operational status and begin utilizing F2A numbers at a much, much higher pace than normal it may require a final action date to be imposed at some point in the future.
I do not see foresee that happening.
I think that the current amount of F2A demand will be slowly reduced through the course of the year, and that slow reduction will reduce or eliminate completely any need for a [final action] date [to be imposed], at least during fiscal year 2022.
Official recording here.
How did the Final Action Date move in the past few months?
|Visa Bulletin Date:||Oct 2022|
|Final Action Date:||Sep 1, 2022|
F2A has been 'current' since July 2019 and the only question is when it is going to end-- if ever. Up until August 2022, there was no indication that it would, but then F2A-Mexico retrogressed dramatically. October 2022 confirmed the hypothesis that the retrogression for Mexico was simply a way to keep overall Mexico numbers under the country limit, and had nothing to do with F2A.
Another good news is the strong issuance of consular F2As, which are only 10% down from pre-pandemic levels in FY2022. F2A interviews are clearly prioritized over other preferences.
See here for F2A Mexico and the Philippines.
Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2022 is from October 2021 to September 2022.
|Oct 2022||Sep 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Sep 2022||Sep 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Aug 2022||Aug 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Jul 2022||Jul 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|Jun 2022||Jun 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
|May 2022||May 1, 2022||+4 weeks|
F2A, 🌐All Countries – Final Action Dates Predictions:
The bottom line is that there is no evidence that the situation will change any time soon, although one would think that the COVID-19 pandemic and the backlog it created would put an end to this. So we stay the course and remain optimistic.
This table is pretty straightforward, but you know…
|Oct 2022||Oct 1, 2022|
|Nov 2022||Nov 1, 2022|
|Dec 2022||Dec 1, 2022|
|Jan 2023||Jan 1, 2023|
|Feb 2023||Feb 1, 2023|
|Mar 2023||Mar 1, 2023|
|Apr 2023||Apr 1, 2023|
|May 2023||May 1, 2023|
|Jun 2023||Jun 1, 2023|
|Jul 2023||Jul 1, 2023|
|Aug 2023||Aug 1, 2023|
|Sep 2023||Sep 1, 2023|
|Oct 2023||Oct 1, 2023|
|Nov 2023||Nov 1, 2023|
|Dec 2023||Dec 1, 2023|
|Jan 2024||Jan 1, 2024|
|Feb 2024||Feb 1, 2024|
|Mar 2024||Mar 1, 2024|
|Apr 2024||Apr 1, 2024|
|May 2024||May 1, 2024|
|Jun 2024||Jun 1, 2024|
|Jul 2024||Jul 1, 2024|
|Aug 2024||Aug 1, 2024|
|Sep 2024||Sep 1, 2024|
|Oct 2024||Oct 1, 2024|
|Nov 2024||Nov 1, 2024|
|Dec 2024||Dec 1, 2024|
|Jan 2025||Jan 1, 2025|
|Feb 2025||Feb 1, 2025|
|Mar 2025||Mar 1, 2025|
|Apr 2025||Apr 1, 2025|
|May 2025||May 1, 2025|
|Jun 2025||Jun 1, 2025|
|Jul 2025||Jul 1, 2025|
|Aug 2025||Aug 1, 2025|
|Sep 2025||Sep 1, 2025|
Don’t see your Priority Date? Want to know when your Interview will take place? Get a detailed, personalized Timeline with Date Predictions for each step.
I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?
Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:
|Oct 1, 2022||+4 weeks||✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
When will the Interview be scheduled?
The Green Card Interview can be scheduled when the applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ (when compared to Chart A of the Visa Bulletin, Final Action Dates for Family-Sponsored Preference Cases), and the applicant’s case has been declared ‘documentarily qualified’ (so-called ‘DQ’, also known as ‘complete’ and ‘interview-ready’), by the National Visa Center (NVC).
The problem is that the Covid-19 pandemic created at the NVC a backlog of Worldwide F2A cases that are ‘documentarily qualified’. So the question becomes, how quickly are the associated interviews scheduled?
In order to answer this question, Immigration Planner has carried out an in-depth analysis of U.S. Department of State data, building a database of all the Consular Green Cards issued since October 2018 at the ~150 U.S. Consulates and Embassies which issue family Green Cards outside the United States (the ‘raw’ data from the State Department can be found here).
The first think to note is that the number of consulates issuing F2A Green Cards is back where it used to be pre-pandemic:
Since August 2021, the issuance of F2A Green Cards at U.S. Consulates and Embassies abroad is above the average of the last ‘pre-pandemic’ year (Fiscal Year 2019, from October 2018 to September 2019).
Compared to prior years, one can see that F2A-All Countries issuance of Green Cards is much higher in FY 2022 than it was in FY 2021, and very much in line with FY 2019.
This is the detail per U.S. Consulate:
For real time information about the consulates are doing with F2A interviews, and discussions with fellow F2A applicants waiting for their interview, remember that you can Immigration Planner 's Facebook group here
When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?
We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:
Oct 15, 2022
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