F2A-All Countries: Visa Bulletin Predictions

What is happening with F2A- All countries?

To understand what is happening with F2A- All Countries, we have to go back to the summer of 2019. In June 2019, the Final Action Date for F2A was July 15th 2017. In July 2019, it became ‘current’ which means that the cutoff date moved forward two years to July 1st 2019.

At the time, we thought it was going to be temporary. How could it be otherwise when there is an annual numerical limit on F2A that is around 88,000. But no, the date has stayed ‘current’ ever since defying expectations. And even during the pandemic, there has been no change.

Looking at ‘time to current’ is particularly telling. We were looking at around two years, and suddenly you are ‘current’!

Obviously this had significant implications. Suddenly, F2A applicants going through Consular Processing no longer had to wait to start their NVC processing.

And applicants going through adjustment of status could do concurrent filing, just like spouses and young children of U.S. Citizens. Before many F2A saw their visa expire during the Visa Bulletin wait, and by the time they were ‘current’ that made them ineligible to file for adjustment.

So the only question is essentially: will this end?

Do you expect a retrogression in the F2A category in the coming months?

The short answer is ‘no’, I do not see a change in the current status for F2A in the foreseeable future.

I can say that if posts were to suddenly return to full operational status and begin utilizing F2A numbers at a much, much higher pace than normal it may require a final action date to be imposed at some point in the future.

I do not see foresee that happening.

I think that the current amount of F2A demand will be slowly reduced through the course of the year, and that slow reduction will reduce or eliminate completely any need for a [final action] date [to be imposed], at least during fiscal year 2022.

Official recording here.

Charlie Oppenheim & U.S. Department of State: Consular Affairs & November 2021

How did the Final Action Date move in the past few months?

Visa Bulletin Date:Oct 2022
Final Action Date:Sep 1, 2022
Movement:+4 weeks
F2A has been 'current' since July 2019 and the only question is when it is going to end-- if ever. Up until August 2022, there was no indication that it would, but then F2A-Mexico retrogressed dramatically. October 2022 confirmed the hypothesis that the retrogression for Mexico was simply a way to keep overall Mexico numbers under the country limit, and had nothing to do with F2A.

Another good news is the strong issuance of consular F2As, which are only 10% down from pre-pandemic levels in FY2022. F2A interviews are clearly prioritized over other preferences.

See here for F2A Mexico and the Philippines.

Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2022 is from October 2021 to September 2022.

Last Six
Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Oct 2022Sep 1, 2022+4 weeks
Sep 2022Sep 1, 2022+4 weeks
Aug 2022Aug 1, 2022+4 weeks
Jul 2022Jul 1, 2022+4 weeks
Jun 2022Jun 1, 2022+4 weeks
May 2022May 1, 2022+4 weeks

F2A, 🌐All Countries – Final Action Dates Predictions:
The bottom line is that there is no evidence that the situation will change any time soon, although one would think that the COVID-19 pandemic and the backlog it created would put an end to this. So we stay the course and remain optimistic.

This table is pretty straightforward, but you know…

Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Oct 2022Oct 1, 2022
Nov 2022Nov 1, 2022
Dec 2022Dec 1, 2022
Jan 2023Jan 1, 2023
Feb 2023Feb 1, 2023
Mar 2023Mar 1, 2023
Apr 2023Apr 1, 2023
May 2023May 1, 2023
Jun 2023Jun 1, 2023
Jul 2023Jul 1, 2023
Aug 2023Aug 1, 2023
Sep 2023Sep 1, 2023
Oct 2023Oct 1, 2023
Nov 2023Nov 1, 2023
Dec 2023Dec 1, 2023
Jan 2024Jan 1, 2024
Feb 2024Feb 1, 2024
Mar 2024Mar 1, 2024
Apr 2024Apr 1, 2024
May 2024May 1, 2024
Jun 2024Jun 1, 2024
Jul 2024Jul 1, 2024
Aug 2024Aug 1, 2024
Sep 2024Sep 1, 2024
Oct 2024Oct 1, 2024
Nov 2024Nov 1, 2024
Dec 2024Dec 1, 2024
Jan 2025Jan 1, 2025
Feb 2025Feb 1, 2025
Mar 2025Mar 1, 2025
Apr 2025Apr 1, 2025
May 2025May 1, 2025
Jun 2025Jun 1, 2025
Jul 2025Jul 1, 2025
Aug 2025Aug 1, 2025
Sep 2025Sep 1, 2025

Don’t see your Priority Date? Want to know when your Interview will take place? Get a detailed, personalized Timeline with Date Predictions for each step.

I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?

Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:

Filing Date
Oct 1, 2022+4 weeks✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used

When will the Interview be scheduled?

The Green Card Interview can be scheduled when the applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ (when compared to Chart A of the Visa Bulletin, Final Action Dates for Family-Sponsored Preference Cases), and the applicant’s case has been declared ‘documentarily qualified’ (so-called ‘DQ’, also known as ‘complete’ and ‘interview-ready’), by the National Visa Center (NVC).

The problem is that the Covid-19 pandemic created at the NVC a backlog of Worldwide F2A cases that are ‘documentarily qualified’. So the question becomes, how quickly are the associated interviews scheduled?

In order to answer this question, Immigration Planner has carried out an in-depth analysis of U.S. Department of State data, building a database of all the Consular Green Cards issued since October 2018 at the ~150 U.S. Consulates and Embassies which issue family Green Cards outside the United States (the ‘raw’ data from the State Department can be found  here).

The first think to note is that the number of consulates issuing F2A Green Cards is back where it used to be pre-pandemic:

Since August 2021, the issuance of F2A Green Cards at U.S. Consulates and Embassies abroad is above the average of the last ‘pre-pandemic’ year (Fiscal Year 2019, from October 2018 to September 2019).

Compared to prior years, one can see that F2A-All Countries issuance of Green Cards is much higher in FY 2022 than it was in FY 2021, and very much in line with FY 2019.

This is the detail per U.S. Consulate:

For real time information about the consulates are doing with F2A interviews, and discussions with fellow F2A applicants waiting for their interview, remember that you can Immigration Planner 's Facebook group here

When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?

We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:

Oct 15, 2022

Your Plan, Instructions, Forms (including Affidavit of Support)
Get your personalized Green Card Plan, detailed instructions, and online USCIS Forms (including Affidavit of Support Form I-864EZ, and Medical Form I-693) with automatic error detection.

Get Your Timeline