F3-All Countries: Visa Bulletin Predictions

Analysis and Predictions

What is this prediction about?
This is a prediction of the ‘Final Action Date’ of the Visa Bulletin for family Green Cards F3 (Married children of U.S. citizens.) for ‘All Countries’ (not Mexico and not the Philippines) based on the latest available data (September 2018).

What is the latest?

Visa Bulletin Date:Oct 2018
Chargeability:All Countries
Final Action Date:Jun 15, 2006
Movement:+6 weeks

In October 2018, F3 – All Countries started Fiscal Year 2019 (October 2018 to September 2019) with a 6-week advancement, which almost compensates for the 7-week regression we saw in September 2018. Considering that Fiscal Year 2018 (October 2017 to September 2018) was one of the strongest of the last 20 years, this is a good start.

Last Six
Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Oct 2018Jun 15, 2006+6 weeks
Sep 2018May 1, 2006-7 weeks
Aug 2018Jun 15, 2006+6 weeks
Jul 2018May 1, 2006+6 weeks
Jun 2018Mar 15, 2006+6 weeks
May 2018Feb 1, 2006+3 weeks

What does Immigration Planner predict?

As we had hoped, the regression we saw in September 2018 was simply a way to manage the number of interview that took place in September 2018, with a goal of staying under the annual numerical limits. Our predictions for the Final Action Dates are as follows:

F3, All Countries – Final Action Dates Predictions FY2019 – FY2021 (for longer, 20-year predictions, use our application to build your immigration plan with customized dates):

Visa Bulletin
Final Action
Oct 2018Jun 15, 2006
Nov 2018Jul 8, 2006
Dec 2018Jul 22, 2006
Jan 2019Aug 15, 2006
Feb 2019Sep 8, 2006
Mar 2019Sep 22, 2006
Apr 2019Oct 22, 2006
May 2019Nov 15, 2006
Jun 2019Dec 1, 2006
Jul 2019Dec 22, 2006
Aug 2019Jan 15, 2007
Sep 2019Feb 8, 2007
Oct 2019Mar 1, 2007
Nov 2019Mar 22, 2007
Dec 2019Apr 15, 2007
Jan 2020May 8, 2007
Feb 2020May 22, 2007
Mar 2020Jun 15, 2007
Apr 2020Jul 8, 2007
May 2020Aug 1, 2007
Jun 2020Aug 22, 2007
Jul 2020Sep 15, 2007
Aug 2020Oct 1, 2007
Sep 2020Oct 22, 2007
Oct 2020Nov 15, 2007
Nov 2020Dec 8, 2007
Dec 2020Dec 22, 2007
Jan 2021Jan 22, 2008
Feb 2021Feb 8, 2008
Mar 2021Mar 1, 2008
Apr 2021Mar 22, 2008
May 2021Apr 15, 2008
Jun 2021May 8, 2008
Jul 2021May 22, 2008
Aug 2021Jun 22, 2008
Sep 2021Jul 15, 2008

I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?

Applicants going through adjustment of status are allowed to use the following ‘Filing Date’ of the October 2018 Visa Bulletin to determine if they are allowed to file Form I-485:

Sep 22, 2006

Historically, how long did it take for F3 applicants to become ‘current’?

Looking back, this is how long it took for prior applicants to have their priority date become current. For F3, the latest available data shows it took just over 12 years:

When will the Interview be scheduled?

The process of scheduling the interview is intiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:

  • The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
  • The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).

Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Mexico, All Countries,…).

What happened during Fiscal Year 2018?

Fiscal Year 2018 refers to the period from October 2017 to September 2018. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2018 (represented by the thick red line). F3 is second best.

What happened during Fiscal Year 2017?

Fiscal Year 2017 refers to the period from October 2016 to September 2017. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2017 (represented by the thick blue line):

When will Immigration Planner update its predictions and why?

The next update will be around October 10th, 2018 when the Visa Bulletin for November 2018 will be released by U.S. immigration agencies. Immigration Planner is updating its predictions every month based on the latest available Visa Bulletin.

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