What does Immigration Planner predict?
Our latest predictions for the Final Action Dates of F4 for 🇲🇽Mexico.
Brothers and sisters (siblings) of U.S. Citizens.
What is the latest?
|Visa Bulletin Date:||Jul 2020|
|Final Action Date:||Jun 1, 1998|
The rate of advancement has been progressing in March, April, May, and to a lesser extent in June and July- which is great news.
1) The 'technical retrogression' from July to September 2019 is over;
2) The 'backlog' of applications might be fully processed;
3) F4-Mex has been slower these last 10 years, and is due for a bit of a rebound.
Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2018 is from October 2017 to September 2018, and Fiscal Year 2019 is from October 2018 to September 2019.
|Jul 2020||Jun 1, 1998||+3 weeks|
|Jun 2020||May 8, 1998||+3 weeks|
|May 2020||Apr 15, 1998||+4 weeks|
|Apr 2020||Mar 15, 1998||+4 weeks|
|Mar 2020||Feb 15, 1998||+4 weeks|
|Feb 2020||Jan 15, 1998||+1 weeks|
I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?
Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:
|Oct 22, 2005||+3 weeks||✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
When will the Interview be scheduled?
The process of scheduling the interview is initiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:
- The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
- The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).
Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Mexico, All Countries, …).
The month when the applicant’s Priority Date is current, U.S. Immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.
What happened during Fiscal Year 2018?
Fiscal Year 2018 refers to the period from October 2017 to September 2018. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2018 (represented by the annotated line). Fiscal Year 2018 was below the average of the last 20 years for F4-Mexico:
When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?
We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:
Jul 14, 2020