What does Immigration Planner predict?
Our latest predictions for the Final Action Dates of F4 for 🇲🇽Mexico.
Brothers and sisters (siblings) of U.S. Citizens.
What is the latest?
|Visa Bulletin Date:||Nov 2019|
|Final Action Date:||Dec 15, 1997|
As expected, it is the end of the 'technical retrogression' we had to endure from July to September 2019. The last 10 years have now been long-term historical trends. And now Fiscal Year 2020 is not starting well raising the specter of more of the same.
Note: U.S. immigration agencies ‘Fiscal Year’ is from October to the following September. It is different from a ‘Calendar’ year. For example Fiscal Year 2018 is from October 2017 to September 2018, and Fiscal Year 2019 is from October 2018 to September 2019.
|Nov 2019||Dec 15, 1997||None|
|Oct 2019||Dec 15, 1997||+49 weeks|
|Sep 2019||Jan 1, 1997||None|
|Aug 2019||Jan 1, 1997||None|
|Jul 2019||Jan 1, 1997||-57 weeks|
|Jun 2019||Feb 8, 1998||None|
I am going through adjustment of status, what else applies to me?
Applicants going through Adjustment of Status are often allowed to use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine when they are allowed to file Form I-485. Here is the latest:
|Jun 15, 2005||+2 weeks||✔︎ Yes, the Filing Date can be used|
When will the Interview be scheduled?
The process of scheduling the interview is initiated by U.S. immigration agencies when the following two requirements are met:
- The applicant’s Priority Date is ‘current’ when compared to the relevant ‘Final Action Date’
- The applicant’s Green Card Case is ‘interview-ready’ (also called ‘case complete’ or ‘documentarily qualified’, meaning that all the proper Forms, Evidence, and Fees necessary to make a decision on the Green Card Application have been received by U.S. Immigration Agencies).
Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s Priority Date (which is when Form I-130 was filed) is ‘earlier’ than the relevant Final Action Date. If the relevant Final Action Date is January 1st 2018, then applicants with a Priority Date ‘earlier’ (that is up to December 31st 2016) are said to be current.
The relevant Final Action Date refers to the Final Action Date that applies to applicants based on their preference classification (F1, F2A, F2B, F3, F4) and countries of birth (Mexico, All Countries, …).
The month when the applicant’s Priority Date is current, U.S. Immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.
What happened during Fiscal Year 2018?
Fiscal Year 2018 refers to the period from October 2017 to September 2018. The following graph compares the last 20 years of the Visa Bulletin with Fiscal Year 2018 (represented by the annotated line). Fiscal Year 2018 was below the average of the last 20 years for F4-Mexico:
When will Immigration Planner update its predictions?
We expect to update our predictions the day after the next Visa Bulletin is released. Our best guess as to when we will update these predictions is as follows:
Dec 12, 2019