Family-based green card preference 3: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

What is family-based preference 3 (F3)?
Married children of U.S. citizens.


What do you predict?
We are predicting the advancement of the ‘final action date’, which is published every month in the visa bulletin. Applicants who filed before the ‘final action date’:

  • May submit their request to adjust status (form I-485) when they are filing from within the United States. However, at least until May 31st 2018, adjustment of status applicants can file if their priority date is current compared to the filing date (the ‘gain’ for applicants is 7 months)
  • May have their interview scheduled when they are going through consular processing

What is the basis of the prediction?
We released a first prediction at the beginning of the U.S. government fiscal year, which started on October 1st 2017. Now, because we know the actual visa bulletin dates for Oct. ’17 – Jun. ’18, we are able to update this prediction, and extend our prediction to Dec. ’19.


Does the prediction apply to Mexico and the Philippines?
No, it does not. The prediction applies to all countries except Mexico and the Philippines.


What happened since the beginning of the new fiscal year in October 2017?
For the time being, Fiscal Year 2018 is for F3 one of the strongest years on record. If you compare the advancement with the last 20 years (the thick red line represents the last months of known data):


What does Immigration Planner predict this year?
Fiscal Year 2018 (Oct. ’17 – Jun. ’18) has been a very strong year for F3, placing it in the top 3 of the last 20 years. June 2018 was an even stronger month than usual, probably meaning that U.S. immigration agencies still want to build an ‘inventory’ of interviews to be conducted before the end of the Fiscal Year in September 2018. Our current predictions are as follows:


More specifically, these are the dates we predict:

Visa Bulletin Predictions for F3 Final Action Dates.
Visa Bulletin
F3 Final Action date
Type
Jan 2018Oct 8, 2005actual
Feb 2018Nov 15, 2005actual
Mar 2018Dec 15, 2005actual
Apr 2018Jan 8, 2006actual
May 2018Feb 1, 2006actual
Jun 2018Mar 15, 2006actual
Jul 2018Apr 8, 2006prediction
Aug 2018Apr 22, 2006prediction
Sep 2018May 8, 2006prediction
Oct 2018May 22, 2006prediction
Nov 2018Jun 15, 2006prediction
Dec 2018Jun 22, 2006prediction
Jan 2019Jul 15, 2006prediction
Feb 2019Aug 1, 2006prediction
Mar 2019Aug 22, 2006prediction
Apr 2019Sep 8, 2006prediction
May 2019Sep 22, 2006prediction
Jun 2019Oct 8, 2006prediction
Jul 2019Oct 22, 2006prediction
Aug 2019Nov 15, 2006prediction
Sep 2019Nov 22, 2006prediction
Oct 2019Dec 15, 2006prediction
Nov 2019Jan 1, 2007prediction
Dec 2019Jan 22, 2007prediction

What happened last year?
Fiscal year 2017 was a solid year for the advancement of F3. We compared the month by month progression of 2017 with the last 20 years:


When will Immigration Planner update its predictions and why?
The next update will be around June 15th, 2018 when the Visa Bulletin for July 2018 will be released by U.S. immigration agencies. Immigration Planner is updating its predictions every month based on the latest available Visa Bulletin.

Related Resources

Visa Bulletin
Visa Bulletin: June 2018 analysis

Analysis of the June 2018 Visa Bulletin for family Green Card applicants.

F1 Visa Bulletin Predictions
Family-based green card F1 preference: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F1 date for 'all countries' will reach October 22nd, 2011 in January 2019.

F2A Visa Bulletin Predictions
Family-based green card preference 2A: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F2A date for 'all countries' will reach March 1st, 2017 in January 2019.

f2b
Family-based green card preference 2B: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F2B date for 'all countries' will reach February 8th, 2012 in January 2019.

F4 Visa Bulletin Predictions
Family-based green card preference 4: predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

Immigration Planner is predicting that the Visa Bulletin F4 date for 'all countries' will reach April 15th, 2005 in January 2019.

List of all the questions in the DS-260

All the questions in the DS-260, an online form used by the National Visa Center (NVC) to gather information about applicants for family green cards.