Family-based Green Card preference 3: Predictions for the ‘Final Action date’

What is this prediction about?
This is a prediction of the ‘Final Action Date’ of the Visa Bulletin for family Green Cards F3 (Married children of U.S. citizens.) for ‘All Countries’ (not Mexico and not the Philippines) based on the latest available data (August 2018).

Only applicants who have priority date that is ‘current’ when compared to the ‘Final Action Date’ can have the process of scheduling a Green Card interview initiated by U.S. immigration agencies. Being ‘current’ means that the applicant’s priority date is ‘earlier’ than the Final Action Date that applies to them: if the Final Action Date is January 1st, 2017; then applicants with a priority date of December 25th 2016 are current;  but applicants with a priority date of January 5th, 2017 are not current.

The month when the applicant’s priority date is current, U.S. immigration agencies look for an available Interview slot in the month after next (if the applicant’s priority date becomes current in January, then they will start looking for slots in March). How long applicants wait depend on how busy the U.S. Consulate or USCIS Field office is.

Also, generally, family Green Card applicants who live in the United States and go through adjustment of status can use the ‘Filing Date’ of the Visa Bulletin to determine if they can file form I-485 (we will confirm in the next few days whether that is again the case in August 2018 as USCIS releases that information).

What does Immigration Planner predict?
F3 is having one of its best years on record with another 6-week jump in August 2018 following another 6-week advancement in July 2018. Our current predictions are as follows:

More specifically, these are the dates we predict:

Visa Bulletin Predictions for F3 Final Action Dates.
Visa Bulletin
F3 Final Action date
Jan 2018Oct 8, 2005actual
Feb 2018Nov 15, 2005actual
Mar 2018Dec 15, 2005actual
Apr 2018Jan 8, 2006actual
May 2018Feb 1, 2006actual
Jun 2018Mar 15, 2006actual
Jul 2018May 1, 2006actual
Aug 2018Jun 15, 2006actual
Sep 2018Jun 22, 2006prediction
Oct 2018Jul 15, 2006prediction
Nov 2018Jul 22, 2006prediction
Dec 2018Aug 15, 2006prediction
Jan 2018Aug 22, 2006prediction
Feb 2018Sep 8, 2006prediction
Mar 2018Sep 22, 2006prediction
Apr 2018Oct 8, 2006prediction
May 2018Oct 22, 2006prediction
Jun 2018Nov 8, 2006prediction
Jul 2018Nov 22, 2006prediction
Aug 2018Dec 8, 2006prediction
Sep 2018Dec 22, 2006prediction
Oct 2018Jan 8, 2007prediction
Nov 2018Jan 22, 2007prediction
Dec 2018Feb 22, 2007prediction
Jan 20Mar 22, 2007prediction
Feb 20Apr 22, 2007prediction
Mar 20Jun 1, 2007prediction
Apr 20Jul 1, 2007prediction
May 20Aug 1, 2007prediction
Jun 20Sep 8, 2007prediction
Jul 20Oct 8, 2007prediction
Aug 20Nov 8, 2007prediction
Sep 20Dec 15, 2007prediction

What is the ‘time to current’ for F3?
Looking back, this is how long it took for prior applicants to have their priority date become current. For F3, the latest available data shows it took just over 12 years:

What happened since the beginning of the new fiscal year in October 2017?
For the time being, Fiscal Year 2018 is for F3 one of the strongest years on record. If you compare the advancement with the last 20 years (the thick red line represents the last months of known data), F3 is the second best!

What happened last year?
Fiscal year 2017 was a solid year for the advancement of F3. We compared the month by month progression of 2017 with the last 20 years:

When will Immigration Planner update its predictions and why?
The next update will be around August 15th, 2018 when the Visa Bulletin for September 2018 will be released by U.S. immigration agencies. Immigration Planner is updating its predictions every month based on the latest available Visa Bulletin.